“New Normal,” a term coined but not yet copyrighted by the principals at Pimco, is bandied about to describe the prospects for the economy and financial markets. It is undefined and hence irrefutable. It provides a glib way to state the obvious: the future will differ from the past. Its definitional elasticity ensured its widespread acception.
A more appropriate term might be the “New Abnormal.” While this term could be criticized in the same manner, it offers one significant advantage. It more strongly implies lack of continuity with the past. This “advantage” is in the eye of the beholder. If you are the common investor, this message is the one that should be absorbed. If you are part of the sell-side hucksters of Wall Street, you prefer the current euphemism, because it is wonderfully clever. It conveys the obvious – things have changed – in a somewhat soothing way. Optimism (the purpose of the sell-side) is promoted in the sense that “understanding” will be enable you to “manage” the future. It turns lemons into lemonade. It advances the “Lipstick on a Pig” tactic from boiler rooms to the entire economy/stock market . It is pure Marketing genius.
Despite the “genius”, I am not buying this “used car.”
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